Thursday, August 31, 2017

Gemstones surface in flushing flood erosion - I repeat

I wrote this article slightly more than a year ago, expecting a rank show against world number one Australia. I posted it with a different picture, never expecting to be proven picture perfect and totally wrong otherwise. Well, that was history but in a year the anomalies have disappeared and normalcy has taken its place. And here we are facing the much-expected humiliation in the hands of a different world number one.

What went wrong with my prediction last time, and went right for Sri Lanka then, can be summed up in three points.

  • In form Rangana Herath against Australia. But he did not show the same skills against India. If that is due to aging, well that would be a bigger hole than Sanga Mahela combined
  • Australia had no good spinners so we had the freedom to set pitches with as most spinning as possible. Sadly India has the two spinners who fight for world top rank and we had no idea how we should set the pitches.
  • Graham Ford had just started as the coach. The system was fully functioning and board sounded sensible. Neither is the case today, at best it is a cacophony for that symphony. Too many cooks poison the meal, and Ford jumped the boat before sinking.
Gemstones surface in flushing flood erosion. But whether we will pick them up is an entirely different question. In the agony of ongoing Indian tour, we encountered followings which are yet noteworthy. I hope whatever functioning administration would not miss them and try to enhance them.

1. In Niroshan Dickwella, we have an attacking ODI opener, a fighting test middle order player, a good wicket keeper and a good brain with potential for future leadership

2. In Akhila Dhananjaya we have a complete spinner with every trick in the book, well, almost [drift seem to be missing, depends on conditions too much]

3. In Vishwa Fernando we have a potential Vaas

4. Milinda Siriwardhana is a quality tail ender, and it was so unfair to drop him just for failing in one gloomy icy cold England tour.

Having said that let me copy paste my previous article with a whole new picture.





SL squad for Australia Tests:
Angelo Mathews (capt), Dinesh Chandimal (vice-capt), Dimuth Karunaratne, Kaushal Silva, Kusal Janith Perera, Kusal Mendis, Dhananjaya de Silva, Roshen Silva, Nuwan Pradeep, Vishwa Fernando, Asitha Fernando, Rangana Herath, Dilruwan Perera, Lakshan Sandakan, Suranga Lakmal
[cricinfo]

If the word mismatch needs an example, look forward for the test series of Sri Lanka vs Australia. When we were at peak with experience and numbers in our ranks and they were at the rock bottom with juveniles, they still outplayed us in tests. When both seesaws changed its sides the gap may rise to a mount Everest. If that gap is not enough, SL sinks further with injuries to Prasad, Chameera, Vandersay and omission of Shaminda Eranga due to health and legalities.

The squad comes with many new faces and some surprises in non-selection. Noticeably, the top seven batters are pretty much predictable except for one lower order slot. Without the recent trials of Thiri, Mili and Shanaka either of the new players Roshen Silva or Dhananjaya De Silva is set to play in that. Kusal Mendis and Dinesh Chandimal have potential for some surprises. If Angelo regains his form, and openers do their defending bit at their best, you can hope for something. Kusal Perera can single-handedly win games, but he may need some time to find the game after ICC chased him to Siberia.

Roshen Silva averages 50.8 after 87 first class matches and that first class average is surpassed by only Angelo of all the SL players I can think of. Averaging more than Sanga, Mahela, Aravinda, or Thilan in first class after a reasonable period is seriously a bright factor, but you have this difficulty in interpreting what is meant by Sri Lankan first class which is played in below par conditions. Nevertheless it is unique, and if you consider that nearly a third of his first class innings are 50+ and he bats mostly in middle or lower middle, you may think he is an year-overdue solution for the problem.

In bowling there is a high likelihood that two Fernandos may sit back leaving regular pacemen to lead bowling.I personally think that the bowling in England was too conventional and there was no real attacking fast bowler. 18 year old Asitha Fernando may not be as fast as the grown ups but he may add that difference. However chances are high that they'd stick to the conservative solution.

Rangana's partner would be an interesting debate as Dilruwan is itching for a chance and Lakshan Sandakan looks equally competitive with his chinaman magic. Dilruwan is the third player with 30- average (take 40 wickets as minimum condition) behind the big two, hence deserving the slot. But a chinaman is as rare as that.

Of the non-selection, there will be debate over the drop of Milinda and Dasun Shanaka. Milinda misses selection with innings of 1, 68, 42, 35, 29, 62, 26, 0 and 35 and pretty effective bowling. Shanaka didn't get a fair chance for batting but his bowling created perhaps the only moment that SL was in control in England. Lack of their part-time bowling means that injury-prone Angelo is the only option other than the main bowlers. Nevertheless Thirimanne's name will get an standing ovation for getting dropped from the list.

Aussies are likely to play the the star of the practice game Steve O'Keefe instead of Marsh for their fifth bowler/all-rounder. They have five players averaging 49+ with bat, and bowlers of all variations. Lyon's offbreak combined with O'Keefe left arm orthodox may be like poison for spin-allergic SL batsmen. If that is not enough Starc shoots canon balls of150+.

Sri Lanka has beaten Australia only once in a test, and that win came with injuries to Steve Waugh and Gillespie which left them two men less in the second innings. A win this time is hardly an expectation but a national celebration. Hence any matches drawn can be considered equal to victory. Even in the case of total whitewash by them, I'd like to focus on individual performances as at this time what really matters is where we will be in 2-3 years time, not now. Let's pick gem stones as the flood gates open in Kandy on the 26th.

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